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The Bitcoin Bitcoin in the second quarter advance the highest expansion of global liquidity ever recorded, according to Real Vision chief analyst, Crypto, Jamie Coutts, who maintains that each additional liquidity percentage injected into the financial system “should” result in a 20% gain for cryptocurrency.
1% liquidity = 20% bitcoin?
Writing On X, Coutts observed that its world liquidity index owned a new record on April 10 after three years of drift and that, in the nine weeks that followed, Bitcoin gathered around 40%. “Bitcoin has gathered 40% since April 10, which was at the time that my global liquidity (GLI) after 3 years broke out new peaks of all time at the back of an American dollar fall. Since then, the aggregate has increased by 2%.
He added that “although the sensitivity of bitcoin to moderates GLI over time, for each additional 1% of the liquidity added to the system, we should expect to see a movement of> 20% in the price of bitcoin”, he said, saying more than the constant influx of capital “will not take into account sometimes, it will be the most time of shit.”
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The graph he shared, reproduced above, superimposes his GLI (white) with the daily prices of Bitcoin (orange) from 2018 to June 2025. It shows the index which was in about 138 billions of dollars while the bitcoin changes hands almost $ 108,000, stressing the tight directional relationship between the two series through several cycles of liquidity.
Couts builds the indicator by combining the G4 central bank assessments, large silver aggregates such as M2 and the main American liquidity accounts, including General Treasury Account and the Reverse repo installation of the federal reserve. Since the rupture of April, the GLI has only added two percentage points, but the market value of Bitcoin has already increased by twice the elasticity involved by its model – a result which it considers “entirely coherent” with the previous liquidity diets, which tend to produce the clearest response at the start of the cycle.
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For the moment, he sees little evidence that the momentum of the GLI is escaping; The federal reserve still draining its facilities with opposite repo, the Banque Populaire de China Quietly expanding its assessment, and the European Central Bank refers to renewed long -term refinancing operations, the backdrop remains structurally upper even if it is not a straight line.
Looking further, traditional liquidity research suggests a modest but persistent growth: most macro-bureaux expect the world aggregate to increase by about one to six percent over the next twelve months, from three to 8% cumulatively in the middle of 2027, and of the order of ten to fifteen percent to the turn of the decade as the governments roll on record charges and that central banks standardize balance policies. If the basic cost rule holds, even the bottom of the end of these projections would leave a scale of space for three -digit percentage gains before 2030.
At the time of the press, the BTC was negotiated at $ 107,676.
Star image created with dall.e, tradingView.com graphic
